Fitch Downgrade Adds $2.99 Billion in Deficit To Andrew Cuomo's Budget Farce

      The downgrading begins as Fitch begins CYA.  Fitch has announced, "In valuing pension liabilities in its credit analysis of states and local governments, the rating agency will now assume a return on assets of 7 percent, lower than the average return of 8 percent used by most pension plans. That translates to an increase in the average plan liability of 11 percent."
       This throws Cuomo's budget into the trash.  After Madoff, only a fool would accept even a 7% "safe" rate of return on investments as sensible.  NY State uses a 7.5% 'safe return on its pension investments.    But, NY's real rate of return was less than 4% for ten years.  Even worse, NY's return for past 5 years was 01.1%.   Link.

       New York's pension fund as of March 31 was nearly $56 billion below the level it would have attained if it had achieved its 8 percent target rate of return for the past five years.

     When Thomas DiNapoli lowered [from 8% to 7.5%] the expected rate of return for the state's $125 billion pension fund, ...[the State] contributed 88% of the $3.4 billion invested in employee pensions last year, according to the fiscally conservative Citizens Budget Commission.  So assuming another drop from 7.5% to 7.0% would require the State to contribute the same 88% of $3.4 billion, or Cuomo's budget just added another $2.99 billion in deficit.

The Hand Writing was on the Wall